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2020 U.S. Election


abrasivesaint
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49 minutes ago, Schnitzel said:

Does anybody think the media is whipping up the hate for trump and the  youth all going nuts thinking there's no way he can get back in might be leading people to assume he can't win?

 

in the last australian election it was universally decided the libs had no chance but in they got because we were all too excited about them not getting elected we didn't stop to ask the other who they were voting for?

 

OR is there a possibility he'll go out?

 

I just assumed we'd have another four years of the world's finest countries being run by one of the world's most insincere egomaniacs

Given the way Trump is acting he's also worried about losing. He's already started claiming that the elections is going to be rigged against him. PEople confident of winning don't accuse the other side of cheating.

 

Polls aren't looking good for him right now, but I also warn against taking them too seriously.

 

His response to the protests and riots only appealed to those that are already rusted on Trump supporters, same with his approach to CV19. He's done little to nothing to try and win more people to his side, instead, as Mattis said, he's been trying to divide the electorate even more. As a famous WWII general is claimed to have said, "I don't like paying twice for the same patch of real estate", which is what Trump seems to be doing. He's only really appealing to his hardcore base, which is weird, because they're going to vote for him anyway. He should be trying to win more people over, not convince the already certain.

 

Still a long time before Nov 3, though.

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This goes to what I've been pointing towards (maybe in other threads) in that Trump is not the problem, he's the result of having a problem.

 

Populists and Demagogues can only arise when the circumstances are permissive. The big kick up for the US came after things in Iraq really turned to shit - 2006 was the real depth of combat and losses - and then accelerated after 2008 with the GFC. A number of folk who analyse these issues suggest that the bailout of many of the organisations responsible for the GFC and the bonuses for the CEOs who headed those organisations - instead of prosecution - was the final nail. It confirmed that the elite had separated from the governed and that it only supported its own perpetuation.

 

The Australian uptick came about when political parties began replacing leaders mid-term, which happened something like six times by both parties. The UK was Brexit, unsure what's going on in Canada.

 

 

image.thumb.png.2ea51a7c6fc1e9ff8ba752770803046a.png

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On 7/2/2020 at 5:28 PM, KILZ FILLZ said:

Came here to post that same exact shit! These fools ain’t I even trying to hide anymore. Fuck nazis

 

 

896E273E-50AC-4636-A2BA-5243238A5632.jpeg

FF5C3253-59C9-4085-A046-C7163EF95078.jpeg

My Dad wears this Tshirt that is very similar, however, it is a little different in design,  every time I glance at it, it reminds me of USSR.  It's weird.  

I'll try to snap a photo of it and post here...

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On 7/7/2020 at 10:27 PM, Hua Guofang said:

This goes to what I've been pointing towards (maybe in other threads) in that Trump is not the problem, he's the result of having a problem.

 

Populists and Demagogues can only arise when the circumstances are permissive. The big kick up for the US came after things in Iraq really turned to shit - 2006 was the real depth of combat and losses - and then accelerated after 2008 with the GFC. A number of folk who analyse these issues suggest that the bailout of many of the organisations responsible for the GFC and the bonuses for the CEOs who headed those organisations - instead of prosecution - was the final nail. It confirmed that the elite had separated from the governed and that it only supported its own perpetuation.

 

The Australian uptick came about when political parties began replacing leaders mid-term, which happened something like six times by both parties. The UK was Brexit, unsure what's going on in Canada.

 

 

image.thumb.png.2ea51a7c6fc1e9ff8ba752770803046a.png

Hey @hua_guofang  I'd love to read more about this. Can you post links or PM me some? Super interesting as someone from down under that is politically curious and involved in exploring democracy locally.

 

Thanks for sharing btw.

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53 minutes ago, delv said:

Hey @hua_guofang  I'd love to read more about this. Can you post links or PM me some? Super interesting as someone from down under that is politically curious and involved in exploring democracy locally.

 

Thanks for sharing btw.

Not meant in a smartarse way, but just google, there is a mountain of stuff on this.

 

file:///C:/Users/barst/AppData/Local/Temp/EXHIBIT%2004.pdf

 

I haven't read that particular report but it's the main one many cite for this issue.

 

Keep in mind though, that many people don't have a nuanced view of what democracy is. They see the political parties bickering like idiots during question time in parliament, they see the revolving door of Prime Ministers and politicians rorting travel costs and shit like that. What they don't often factor into their thinking are the fundamental principles of democracy, such as freedom of expression, freedom of association, freedom of religion, freedom of the press, freedom of movement and things like this. It's doubtful that people have lost faith in these ideals, but more so in political leadership.

 

That's my take, anyway.

 

The problem with this loss in faith is that it opens up the way for populists like Trump, Bolsonaro, Boris, Duterte, etc., to walk in and say "the elite don't care about you, they've fucked the country. But I understand you, I know what you want and I can do it, I'm a strong leader and if you just give me power I will make everything great again as I love the country and I'm just like you". This often goes hand-in-hand with blaming foreigners and immigrants, not being tough with the law and having a very narrow view of what the national interest is (most of time this will focus on the economy and cultural identity). Think Hansonism and Trumpism.

 

Trump is not the problem, he's what happens when you have a problem. Hilary epitomised the privileged elite. She had no central reason to run as president (Trump had MAGA, Hilary just had "because it's my turn and I'm a woman"). When people don't trust and believe in the system anymore it's easy for some one to walk in and give them easy answers and something familiar to clutch onto, like traditional values. That's what populists do, but because they're never actually good at governing, things get worse and they have to shift blame more and more to dodge responsibility and they can do dangerous shit out of desperation.

 

The shit Trump is doing now with the virus and China are perfect examples. He's trying to get positive econ figures in the few months left so he has something to run on. He's willing to risk high fatality rates for short-term gain, just until the election. He's also trying to divert attention to China. Not to say that China isn't free of guilt, the CCP are a fucking scourge. However Trump's not addressing the actual problems, he's just scapegoating so he can try and look like a tough guy.

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6 minutes ago, Hua Guofang said:

It's doubtful that people have lost faith in these ideals, but more so in political leadership.

Yeah, I was thinking more along these lines, but I was curious to explore more given your initial post.

 

Note: your attachment didn't attach.

 

And yeah, I've heard of google I guess I was more referring to what one might be searching for etc. ie. point a guy in the right direction type thing. 🙂

 

Thanks though.

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Trying again, here you go:

 

https://apo.org.au/node/208536

 

https://www.democracy2025.gov.au/documents/Democracy2025-report1.pdf

 

I guess why I suggest searching is that there is actually so much out there on this issue (it's a problem in many democratic countries, as the graph indicates), that it makes it hard to point in any particular direction. The best thing I could do, rather than direct you in any particular way is to advise that you read from reputable sources rather than FB warriors and shit like that. Try and aim for qualified researchers, authoritative orgs like universities or well established think tanks, etc.

 

Lowy Institute does a lot of good work in Australia, that's where I'd start digging locally.

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Thanks mate. Much appreciated. I've been getting involved hyper locally with my council the last year but keen to expand my understanding and horizons of politics and democracy generally.

 

And yeah, I'm not an FB person. My struggle is that I recognise FB bullshit but I'm not educated enough to digest research docs etc. Was hoping for a dumbed down version to help me explore. I'll see what is out there.

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I studied and lived under the Chinese Communist PArty for a long time and I can't tell you how much Trump's America is starting to resemble that system.

 

He tries to turn the military on protesters and dissenters.

 

He tries to shut down media that is critical of him.

 

Those close to him are allowed to break the law without the consequences normal people face

 

He enriches his own family using the powers of his office

 

His personal accounts are not up for scrutiny

 

People in the government get fired if they don't agree with him

 

He uses the power of his office to financially assist those who support him.

 

He leans his political legitimacy on race and the economy.

 

 

This is all 100% exactly the same as the Chinese Communist Party. Yet his supporters are such suckers they are so easily conditioned to scream "If AOC/Biden/whoever had their way, they'd take all your freedoms away like Stalin" and shit like that.

 

It really is astounding how alike Trump's America has become like contemporary China.

 

 

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A presidential adviser - who just happens to be related to the president, in a case of clear nepotism - is promoting a product that officially endorsed the president's re-election.

 

I think it was @misteraventhat said this presidency has basically dropped all facades and is now just blatantly not giving a fuck and doing whatever it wants*.

 

And the Republican party is not doing a thing about it.

 

 

@misteravenmade that comment in the context that all govts are the same in terms of corruption. I agree with this, to a point. All govts are corrupt to a degree and do bad shit, the Obama admin was no different. But I do think that the Trump admin has taken this to an astronomical level.

 

 

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17 hours ago, delv said:

I'm wondering if they are purposefully trying to lose....

I think that they've gone over a cliff. The reasonable folk like Mattis, McMAster, Tillerson, Kelly, Hill, etc. etc. have left the building and all you have left are nutjobs like Navarro, Miller and Kushner influencing an already skewif person like Trump.

 

I'm not sure that they even have the capability to attract the centre anymore and all they can do is double down on their base, essentially recruiting those that are already going to vote for them.

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3 hours ago, Hua Guofang said:

Hard to disagree

 

 

I mean he probably spent more time figuring out what he was going to say about this photo perpetuating sensationalism than it took for someone to place some Goya cans on the desk and take that troll of a photo.
 

He spent how much time bitching about a photo of beans when there’s still plenty of injustice and police brutality happening that could be reported. Hell, they could even talk more about the dozens of countries that are protesting their oppressive governments. 

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